Tuesday, July 21, 2020

Added: UIC



Bought 6,300 UIC shares at $2.19 on 21 Jul.



Reasons for buying:

1) Share price at 10 years low 
It reached 52w low of $1.94 in Mar 2020.
Putting aside 2020 pricing, the last time it at $2.19 range is 10 years ago (Year 2010).


2) PB 0.4


3) Chairman Dr Wee Cho Yaw insider trade
Chairman Wee purchased $6,598,948 worth of UIC shares at average price $1.97 on Mar 2020.
This increase his total holding to 50.37% in UIC.


4) Potential privatization stock

Bought Perennial in 2018 and it got privatization recently (Link).
Perennial is my first stock that privatize.
Thus, looking for another potential stock to be the successor of Perennial.

The rumour to private UIC have been around for many years.
However, it seem to have higher chance at this moment compare to few years ago because:

a) Lower volume weighted average price (VWAP)
In every privatization, you will always see VWAP where it try to convince shareholders why their offer price is of best deal


Eg: Perennial VWAP


Assuming Offer price of $5 for UIC,
Last traded price on 21 Jul 2020 will be  +130%
                          1 month VWAP will be  +117%
                          3 month VWAP will be  +115%
                          6 month VWAP will be  + 90%
                         12 month VWAP will be + 70%



The longer period the share price remain low, the more attractive VWAP will be.


b) Major shareholders

Chairman Wee held 50.37% of UIC.
JG Summit Holdings (Founder: John Gokongwei) held 37.05% of UIC. With the passing of John Gokongwei in Nov 2019, the successor might have a different strategy for the future. One of the reason privatize could not happen in the past could be because agreement could not be reach with John Gokongwei.


c) Low public float %
As at 9 March 2020, approximately 12.79% of the issued ordinary shares of the Company are held by the public (Pg 169 of Annual Report 2019).




I hope i am right to spot this hidden gem evolve to become a diamond ring within the next 2 years.

2 comments:

  1. Actually, I always thought UIC cannot be privatized because of the 30% holdings by JG Summit? Heresay in the past they blocked it a few times.

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    Replies
    1. Yup, hearsay JG Summit blocked it too. But as mention in point 4b above, "JG Summit Holdings (Founder: John Gokongwei) held 37.05% of UIC. With the passing of John Gokongwei in Nov 2019, the successor might have a different strategy for the future. One of the reason privatize could not happen in the past could be because agreement could not be reach with John Gokongwei."

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